Probability equations derived from statistical analysis needed
$30-250 AUD
Pagado a la entrega
Summary
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We need to understand the probability of a contestant type winning an event based upon a statistical analysis of past results.
Contestant Types
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In any 1 event there are up to a maximum of 7 contestant types: A, B, C, D, E, F and G
Not all contestant types may feature in a single event
Event Type
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Events can have from 5 to 24 contestants
There is only a single winner for an event
Events may contain multiples of contestant types
Example Events
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A,A,A,B,B,B,C,D - Winner A
G,G,G,G,G,G - Winner G
A,B,B,A,F,F,F,F,E,E,E,E,E,E,G - Winner G
A,A,A,A,A,A,A,B,B,B,B,B,B,B,E,E,E,E,E - Winner A
Example Problem
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Given past results what is the likelihood of A winning from the following event:
A,B,B,B,B,D,D,D,D,D,F,F,F,F,F
Nº del proyecto: #18084781
Sobre el proyecto
8 freelancers están ofertando un promedio de $157 por este trabajo
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I am a qualified mathematician. I know how to solve the task. Bayes' theorem and a method similar to Bayesian inference should be used. Detailed data analysis should be done. I can complete the task in three days.
I am an actuary for more than 7 years and I have also completed the Society of Actuaries Exam on Probability. I believe I can do this project.
